Arcbest Corp Stock Volatility

ARCB Stock  USD 106.35  2.33  2.14%   
ArcBest Corp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. ArcBest Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.28, which signifies that the company had a 0.28 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing ArcBest Corp's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.85% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of ArcBest Corp's mean deviation of 2.4, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1838 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2792

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Based on monthly moving average ArcBest Corp is performing at about 22% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of ArcBest Corp by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to ArcBest Corp's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
ArcBest Corp Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ArcBest daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ArcBest's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ArcBest Corp volatility.

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, ArcBest Corp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to ArcBest Corp's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as ArcBest Corp can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of ArcBest Corp at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of ArcBest Corp's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to ArcBest Corp's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.99
Alpha
0.5
Risk
3.04
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Expected Return
0.85

Moving together with ArcBest Stock

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  0.83SECVY Seche EnvironnementPairCorr
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  0.83MRK Merck Company Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.9WMT Walmart Common Stock Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.83AA Alcoa CorpPairCorr
  0.94DD Dupont De NemoursPairCorr
  0.87BA BoeingPairCorr

Moving against ArcBest Stock

  0.67PBCRF PT Bank CentralPairCorr
  0.5CMWCF Cromwell PropertyPairCorr
  0.4NVNIW Nvni Group LimitedPairCorr

ArcBest Corp Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

ArcBest Corp's beta coefficient measures the volatility of ArcBest stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ArcBest stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, ArcBest Corp's beta of 1.99 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ArcBest Corp stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. ArcBest Corp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.19 and Jensen Alpha of 0.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ArcBest Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ArcBest Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days ArcBest Corp correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.50   β1.99
3 Months Beta |Analyze ArcBest Corp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days ArcBest Corp correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

ArcBest Corp Volatility and Downside Risk

ArcBest standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Using ArcBest Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on ArcBest Corp grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of ArcBest Corp at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of ArcBest Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge ArcBest Corp's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding ArcBest Corp will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

ArcBest Corp's PUT expiring on 2026-05-15

   Profit   
       ArcBest Corp Price At Expiration  

ArcBest Corp Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which ArcBest Corp stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ArcBest Corp's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ArcBest Corp's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ArcBest Corp's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures ArcBest Corp's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ArcBest Corp's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ArcBest Corp's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ArcBest Corp's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ArcBest Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

ArcBest Corp Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9944 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ArcBest Corp will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ArcBest Corp or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ArcBest Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ArcBest stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
ArcBest Corp has an alpha of 0.5031, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
ArcBest Corp's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how arcbest stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an ArcBest Corp Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

ArcBest Corp Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of ArcBest Corp is 358.18. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 9.22 and standard deviation of 3.04. The mean deviation of ArcBest Corp is currently at 2.4. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.99
σ
Overall volatility
3.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

ArcBest Corp Stock Return Volatility

ArcBest Corp historical daily return volatility represents how much of ArcBest Corp stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 3.0368% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8099% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

KMTCDLR
ICFIWERN
KMTWERN
CDLRDAC
KMTDAC
CDLRWERN
  

High negative correlations

HTZCMRE
HTZDAC
ROCKCMRE
HTZPBI
HTZKMT
CMREENR

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between ArcBest Stock performing well and ArcBest Corp Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze ArcBest Corp's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
WERN  1.89  0.39  0.17  0.46  1.90 
 5.35 
 14.43 
ENR  2.39  0.11  0.00 (0.54) 3.95 
 5.32 
 20.84 
DAC  0.93  0.19  0.10  20.45  0.89 
 2.47 
 5.60 
CDLR  2.13  0.50  0.22  0.46  1.83 
 5.39 
 11.93 
KMT  1.83  0.83  0.71  0.64  0.20 
 5.33 
 17.95 
PBI  1.27  0.11  0.06  0.23  1.35 
 2.65 
 9.16 
CMRE  1.48  0.30  0.13  0.62  1.73 
 3.17 
 10.89 
ROCK  2.27 (0.29) 0.00 (0.06) 0.00 
 5.00 
 23.65 
ICFI  1.58  0.04  0.02  0.13  1.62 
 4.00 
 9.67 
HTZ  2.86 (0.53) 0.00 (0.12) 0.00 
 7.09 
 16.82 

About ArcBest Corp Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of ArcBest Corp or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of ArcBest Corp may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to ArcBest's beta indicator, it measures the risk of ArcBest Corp and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of ArcBest Corp fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses141.8 M82.3 M
Market Cap1.7 B1.8 B
ArcBest Corp's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on ArcBest Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much ArcBest Corp's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize ArcBest Corp's volatility to invest better

Higher ArcBest Corp's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of ArcBest Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. ArcBest Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of ArcBest Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in ArcBest Corp's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of ArcBest Corp's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

ArcBest Corp Investment Opportunity

ArcBest Corp has a volatility of 3.04 and is 3.75 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 27 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than ArcBest Corp. You can use ArcBest Corp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of ArcBest Corp to be traded at $102.1 in 90 days.

Very poor diversification

The correlation between ArcBest Corp and DJI is 0.87 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ArcBest Corp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

ArcBest Corp Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of ArcBest Corp's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ArcBest Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ArcBest Corp stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

ArcBest Corp Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ArcBest Corp as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ArcBest Corp's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ArcBest Corp's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ArcBest Corp.

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When running ArcBest Corp's price analysis, check to measure ArcBest Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ArcBest Corp is operating at the current time. Most of ArcBest Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ArcBest Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ArcBest Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ArcBest Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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